Syrian Network

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.title[Power and Ideology]     
.subtitle[The Formation of Violent Group Cooperative/Rivalrous Networks in Syria]  
   
 
               
               
               
.author[Laila A. Wahedi, PhD]  
.institution[MDI Fellow, <br>  Georgetown University]      
               
   
 
.date[June 8, 2018]   
           
           
           
.center[]       
        
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.footnote[ Follow along at Wahedi.US, under Current Presentation  Laila A. Wahedi, PhD -- @lwahedi -- law98@georgetown.edu]

<h2 style="text-transform: none; margin-bottom:0px;text-align:left;color:white;">Syrian Civil War: Unique Opportunity</h2>
<img class="plain" src="../figures/line.png" style="float:left; padding:0;margins:0;margin-bottom:0px; align:left; height: 5px; width:75%">
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<img style="height:50%;align:middle"  src="../figures/syria/phone.png">
<h3 style="color:white;">Everyone had a cell phone</h3>

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<img style="width:75%"  src="../figures/syria/resolution.png">
<h3 style="color:white;">High Resolution</h3>
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<img style="width:75%"  src="../figures/syria/time.png">
<h3 style="color:white;">Dynamic</h3>
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<img style="width:75%"  src="../figures/syria/processor.png">
<h3 style="color:white;">System Level</h3>
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<h1 style="text-transform: none; margin-bottom:0px;text-align:left;color:white;">Sources</h1>
<img class="plain" src="../figures/line.png" style="float:left; padding:0;margins:0;margin-bottom:0px; align:left; height: 5px; width:75%">
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<img style="width:60%;align:middle"  src="../figures/syria/sources.png">
<br><br>
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<h3 style="color:white;">
Online Communities</h3></div>
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| Aggregators |</h3></div>
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Official Statements
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.footnote[Follow along at Wahedi.US, under Current Presentation  Laila A. Wahedi, PhD -- @lwahedi -- law98@georgetown.edu]
   
<h1 style="text-transform: none; color:white; text-align:left; margin-bottom:0px">Methodology</h1>
<img class="plain" src="../figures/line.png" style="float:left; padding:0;margins:0;margin-bottom:0px; align:left; height: 5px; width:75%">

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<img style="width:75%"  src="../figures/syria/step1.png">
<h3 style="color:white;">Seed/ Source Discovery</h3>
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<img style="width:75%"  src="../figures/syria/step2.png">
<h3 style="color:white;">Edge First Pass</h3>
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<img style="width:75%"  src="../figures/syria/step3.png">
<h3 style="color:white;">Source Aggregation</h3>
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<img style="width:75%"  src="../figures/syria/step4.png">
<h3 style="color:white;">Manual Filtering</h3>
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.footnote[Follow along at Wahedi.US, under Current Presentation  Laila A. Wahedi, PhD -- @lwahedi -- law98@georgetown.edu]
   
<h1 style="text-transform: none; color:white; text-align:left; margin-bottom:0px">Cooperative Network Construction</h1>
<img class="plain" src="../figures/line.png" style="float:left; padding:0;margins:0;margin-bottom:0px; align:left; height: 5px; width:75%">

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<img style="width:75%"  src="../figures/syria/umbrella.png">
<h3 style="color:white;">Groups to Umbrellas</h3>
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<img style="width:75%"  src="../figures/syria/hand-shake.png">
<h3 style="color:white;">Observed Cooperation</h3>
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<div style="width:25%; float:left">
<img style="width:75%"  src="../figures/syria/soldiers.png">
<h3 style="color:white;">Joint Offensive</h3>
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<img style="width:75%"  src="../figures/syria/family.png">
<h3 style="color:white;">Created Sub-Unit</h3>
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<h1 style="text-transform: none; color:white; text-align:left; margin-bottom:0px">Rivalry Network Construction</h1>
<img class="plain" src="../figures/line.png" style="float:left; padding:0;margins:0;margin-bottom:0px; align:left; height: 5px; width:75%">

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<img style="width:75%"  src="../figures/syria/battle.png">
<h3 style="color:white;">Battle</h3>
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<img style="width:75%"  src="../figures/syria/rating.png">
<h3 style="color:white;">Stated Rivalry</h3>
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<img style="width:70%"  src="../figures/syria/split.png">
<h3 style="color:white;">Splinter</h3>
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<h2 style="text-transform: none; color:white; text-align:left; margin-bottom:0px">Cooperative Network</h2>
<img class="plain" src="../figures/line.png" style="float:left; padding:0;margins:0;margin-bottom:0px; align:left; height: 5px; width:75%">
<br>

<div style="width:100%;height:60%">
<img style="width:80%;align:middle"  src="../figures/syria/cooperative_net.png">
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<h2 style="text-transform: none; color:white; text-align:left; margin-bottom:0px">Cooperative Network</h2>
<img class="plain" src="../figures/line.png" style="float:left; padding:0;margins:0;margin-bottom:0px; align:left; height: 5px; width:75%">
<br>

<div style="width:100%;">
<img style="width:80%;align:middle"  src="../figures/syria/Zoom_coop.png">
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<h2 style="text-transform: none; color:white; text-align:left; margin-bottom:0px">Preliminary Rival Network</h2>
<img class="plain" src="../figures/line.png" style="float:left; padding:0;margins:0;margin-bottom:0px; align:left; height: 5px; width:75%">
<br>

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<h1 style="text-transform: none; color:white; text-align:left; margin-bottom:0px">What Drives Alliance and Rivalry Behavior?</h1>
<img class="plain" src="../figures/line.png" style="float:left; padding:0;margins:0;margin-bottom:0px; align:left; height: 5px; width:75%">

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<img style="width:75%"  src="../figures/syria/common_ideo.png">
<h3 style="color:white;">Ideology</h3>
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<div style="width:32%; float:left">
<img style="width:75%"  src="../figures/syria/tug.png">
<h3 style="color:white;">Resources</h3>
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<img style="width:70%"  src="../figures/syria/power.png">
<h3 style="color:white;">Power Relations</h3>
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<h1 style="text-transform: none; margin-bottom:0px;text-align:left;color:white;">Expectation:</h1>
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<br><br>
<h2 style="color:white;text-align:left">1. Homophily in rivalry and cooperation networks</h1>
<br>
<h2 style="color:white;text-align:left">2. Higher than average rivalry density within cooperative communities</h1>
</div>
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<h1 style="text-transform: none; margin-bottom:0px;text-align:left;color:white;">Preliminary Findings: <br>It depends</h1>
<img class="plain" src="../figures/line.png" style="float:left; padding:0;margins:0;margin-bottom:0px; align:left; height: 5px; width:75%">
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<img style="width:50%;align:middle"  src="../figures/syria/table.png">
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<h2 style="color:white;text-align:left">Lower density in FSA communities, Higher density in Islamist Communities</h2>
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<h1 style="color:white;text-align:left">Attack State   Policy Point   Control State   Resources</h1>
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<img style="width:75%"  src="../figures/syria/government.png">
<h3 style="color:white;">External Actors</h3>
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<div style="width:32%; float:left">
<img style="width:75%"  src="../figures/syria/battle.png">
<h3 style="color:white;">Rivalry Coding</h3>
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<div style="width:32%; float:left">
<img style="width:70%"  src="../figures/syria/network.png">
<h3 style="color:white;">ERGM</h3>
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